Institutional power file · North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NATO
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10 related pieces2026-09-12
Analysis
Analysis
Russia's Border Pressure Is Testing NATO Below the Threshold of War
Drone incursions and attacks near Ukraine's western borders exploit the space between obvious aggression and incidents allies may hesitate to treat as escalation.
2026-07-09
Analysis
Analysis
Israel and the Gulf Are Discovering the Difference Between Security Coordination and Alliance
Missiles, drones and maritime disruption create overlapping security interests, but shared exposure to Iran does not erase Gulf states' separate diplomatic strategies or create mutual-defence obligations.
2026-06-28
Analysis
Analysis
Europe Is Spending More on Defence. Strategic Autonomy Still Requires Political Autonomy
Bigger defence budgets matter, but Europe's security problem is also about decision-making, industrial capacity and dependence on US political cycles.
2026-10-31
Analysis
Analysis
Alaska's Senate Certification Lawsuit Tests Whether Washington Can Pause a State Election
A federal request for a conditional injunction over two similarly named candidates raises a question that reaches beyond one Senate seat: who has authority to delay certification?
2026-10-29
Analysis
Analysis
Brazil's Election Result Is Settled; the Fight Over Political Authority Is Not
The electoral court confirmed Lula's 51.79% victory. Flávio Bolsonaro's refusal to accept it raises a separate test of institutions and opposition leadership.
2026-10-25
Analysis
Analysis
Brazil's Lula-Bolsonaro Runoff Tests Electoral Legitimacy and the Limits of Presidential Power
A close second-round vote will decide Brazil's presidency, but institutional acceptance and congressional power will determine the transition.
2026-10-21
Analysis
Analysis
Romania Ends Six-Month Government Deadlock, but Its Majority Is Conditional
Luca Niculescu won a parliamentary confidence vote with 280 supporters. A minority cabinet still faces fiscal and institutional constraints.
2026-10-18
Analysis
Analysis
Czech Senate Election 2026: Opposition Retains a Constitutional Check on Babiš
Czech opposition parties won most contested Senate seats as ANO secured none. The result limits constitutional leverage without removing Babiš's lower-house majority.
2026-10-13
Analysis
Analysis
Morocco's New Coalition Has a Majority. Its Real Test Is the Distribution of Power
A four-party coalition has secured 207 of 395 seats after September's election. The parliamentary majority clarifies government formation but not the boundaries of royal authority.
2026-10-10
Analysis
Analysis
The AfD's New Parliamentary Office Matters More Than the Title Suggests
Tobias Rausch now presides over Saxony-Anhalt's state parliament and has already convened an extraordinary sitting backed by AfD and BSW lawmakers. The firewall is being tested through institutional procedure, not coalition formation.
Primary record
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