16 September 2026
Analysis
Analysis
A New Global Poll Suggests Middle Powers Have an Opening
Public comfort with US and Chinese leadership is limited, while Canada, Japan and Australia score better in a new 34-country survey.
State & Power
World
Political power, diplomacy and conflict across the international system.
14 September 2026
Analysis
Analysis
Trump Is Asking Ukraine to Spare Russia's Refineries. That Is a Political Choice, Not Neutrality
The US president's request may be defensible as an attempt to ease a global diesel shock. It also asks Kyiv to surrender one of the few tools that directly raises the domestic cost of Russia's war.
14 September 2026
Analysis
Analysis
AI Governance Is No Longer a Tech Debate. It Is Becoming Foreign Policy
US-China competition, export controls and safety warnings are moving frontier AI from regulatory policy into the same strategic category as chips, energy and defence.
13 September 2026
Analysis
Analysis
BRICS Is Becoming More Important and Less Coherent at the Same Time
Expansion gives the bloc reach across the Global South, but every new member adds competing interests that make unified geopolitical action harder.
13 September 2026
Analysis
Analysis
The Next Geopolitical Crisis May Be About a Metal Most Voters Have Never Heard Of
Yttrium's rise from obscure industrial input to strategic pressure point shows how supply-chain power has become a central instrument of statecraft.
12 September 2026
Analysis
Analysis
Russia's Border Pressure Is Testing NATO Below the Threshold of War
Drone incursions and attacks near Ukraine's western borders exploit the space between obvious aggression and incidents allies may hesitate to treat as escalation.
8 July 2026
Analysis
Analysis
The US-EU Trade Reset Does Not End Europe's Strategic-Autonomy Debate
Tariff reductions can calm transatlantic commerce while leaving the underlying political question intact: how dependent should Europe remain on US power and markets?
2 July 2026
Analysis
Analysis
Europe's Russia Sanctions Strategy Is Now a Test of Endurance, Not Surprise
The EU has extended major economic sanctions into 2027. After years of restrictions, the political challenge is maintaining enforcement and unity rather than announcing ever larger packages.